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The Synchronization of Business Cycles and Financial Cycles in the Euro Area
William Oman
risk managementResource overview

The Synchronization of Business Cycles and Financial Cycles in the Euro Area

Paper2019

by William Oman

Tags
risk management

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Suggested foundations for risk measurement and stress. Specialist prerequisites vary by paper.

Before you read

  1. Random Variables and Distributions

    Represent losses as a distribution rather than one forecast.

  2. Expected Shortfall and Other Tail Risk Measures

    Distinguish a loss quantile from the average loss in the tail.

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  1. VaR Estimation in Practice: Variance-Covariance, Historical Simulation, Monte Carlo

    Compare risk estimators and their assumptions.

  2. Backtesting VaR and ES: Coverage Tests and Model Validation

    Check forecasts against realised losses.

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