by Aaron Abrams, Skip Garibaldi
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Suggested foundations for probability and statistical reasoning and portfolio construction. Specialist prerequisites vary by paper.
Read the distributions and expectations used in probabilistic arguments.
Interpret expectations after information is observed.
Understand the covariance structure of portfolio risk.
Read objectives, constraints and optimality conditions.
Assess uncertainty rather than treating an estimate as a fact.
Construct allocations and examine sensitivity to estimated inputs.
Turn mathematical weights into feasible portfolio decisions.
Move from conditioning and expected values to timed problems with a defensible solution.
Connect diversification, common risk factors, investor views, and the properties of a risk measure.