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Do Prediction Markets Forecast Cryptocurrency Volatility? Evidence from Kalshi Macro Contracts
cryptocurrencies / econometricsResource overview

Do Prediction Markets Forecast Cryptocurrency Volatility? Evidence from Kalshi Macro Contracts

Paper2026

by Bhaskar Krishnamachari, Hardhik Mohanty

Tags
cryptocurrencieseconometricshypothesis testingtime seriesvolatility forecasting

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Suggested foundations for volatility models and surfaces and financial time series. Specialist prerequisites vary by paper.

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