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Discrete devaluations and multiple equilibria in a first generation model of currency crises
Fernando Broner
risk managementResource overview

Discrete devaluations and multiple equilibria in a first generation model of currency crises

Paper2007

by Fernando Broner

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risk management

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  1. Random Variables and Distributions

    Represent losses as a distribution rather than one forecast.

  2. Expected Shortfall and Other Tail Risk Measures

    Distinguish a loss quantile from the average loss in the tail.

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  1. VaR Estimation in Practice: Variance-Covariance, Historical Simulation, Monte Carlo

    Compare risk estimators and their assumptions.

  2. Backtesting VaR and ES: Coverage Tests and Model Validation

    Check forecasts against realised losses.

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